Responding to Collapse, Part 13: Keeping the Lights on When the Grid Goes Down Forever

I'm doing something new this time, which is to publish a post that is almost entirely the work on one of my regular readers and commenters, Joe Clarkson, who lives off-grid on the Big Island of Hawaii. My knowledge of solar electric systems is entirely theoretical and I have always found that in the process of actually building something like this, one learns a great deal that isn't covered in the books. So I am pleased to present this material from someone who can speak with a much greater degree of practical experience than me.

I do have a few comments to make, but I'll save those for the end of the post.

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Keeping the Lights on When the Grid Goes Down Forever

by Joe Clarkson

As someone who has lived most of my adult life in an off-grid home, I have had a lot of experience in managing the equipment needed to replicate the round-the-clock availability of electricity provided by the grid. That experience has been marked by a few failures but over the long haul our electrical supply has been more reliable than most utilities. That there is far more support available now than there was when I was setting up my first off-grid system back in 1975 (small hydro/diesel) makes living off-grid even easier. And since the rural neighborhood surrounding my home has homes that are all off-grid, I rarely hear the questions that many people asked me in years past, “Why do you live off the grid?” and What’s it like?”

The first question I answered by explaining that land without public utilities, like power and water, is almost always far less expensive than land with them. This is true, but I almost never went on to explain that I didn’t like the feeling of insecurity that came with being dependent on the grid. I have long felt that the grid is vulnerable to any number of disruptions, some of them likely to be permanent, and I wanted to live in a situation where I had more control over my electrical supply. Most people still think that attitude must also come with wearing a tin-foil hat.

The answer to the second question was that living off the grid was mostly like living on it. This is even more true now that solar panels have gotten so inexpensive that it is easy to have an ample supply of electricity. My current house is a sort of “legacy” off-grid home. It started out in 1986 with very little solar capacity (under 800 W), so everything was geared to minimizing the use of electricity. Thirty years ago, our electrical consumption was about 2 kWh per day at most. Now that I have 4 kW of solar PV capacity, we have become more profligate, even with the kids gone, and we use 4-5 kWh per day. A solar installer recently told me that he typically designs off-grid homes for a capacity of 20 kWh per day, just as much as the typical grid-connected home around here uses.

I have lived without electricity during two years serving in the Peace Corps and found it easy to do, albeit on a tropical atoll. This experience gave me a deeper understanding of the place electricity has in the modern world. I won’t be discussing that place here, although that is something that everyone should consider thoroughly before making plans for adapting to collapse. Instead, I will describe my way of replicating a modern household electrical system without the grid and my preparations for keeping it going as long as I can.

I know that if the grid goes down forever and business-as-usual becomes ever-accelerating collapse, it will be impossible to maintain an independent electrical system for the long term. But I would like to keep it going as long as possible, if only to ease the transition from a modern, high-energy life to one that will look a lot like life was here in Hawai‘i before contact with outsiders changed everything. These old bones are not ready for a life of subsistence agriculture and hunting-gathering in service to a feudal lord. That life will eventually come, if not for my wife and me, then for our children and their children, but I hope to make the transition as gradual as possible for all of us. If collapse is rapid, it also just might be the difference between life and death.

Our Home Power System Details

So, what kind of system do we have and how do we intend to keep it going during collapse? Our electrical supply is old-school and typical of many off-grid systems:

• 4 kW of solar supply (Sixteen 250 W modules with an output of 24 V DC nominal but wired in series-parallel to about 140 V).
• Two 80-amp MPPT solar charge controllers convert the solar output to 24 VDC for the battery.
• 900 amp-hour lead-acid battery (12 cells at 2V each)
• 4 kW inverter (2 Outback FX2024 operating in parallel at 120/240 VAC output)
• 6 kW Northern Lights diesel generator

Inverters with solar charge controllers to the right

One half of 4 kW solar PV array.
The other half is on the roof of another building but looks identical.

Battery box 
(with concrete block to keep a visiting 4-year-old grandchild out), 
6kW genset, diesel supply in 55-gallon drum.

24 V battery
(12 Hawker flooded lead-acid cells, each 900 Ah)

24 VDC water pump inside concrete block enclosure

Solar hot water system with TV and Ham antennas behind.
80-gallon hot water tank is stainless steel.

240 VAC wood splitter runs off the solar electric system.

38,000-gallon water tank.
24 feet in diameter X 12 feet high.
Half the tank is underground.

The average solar incidence here in up-country Hamakua is low, only about 2.5 peak sun-hours per day. But with 4 kW of solar array, this is enough to average about 10 kWh per day, more than twice as much as we actually use. This means that we rarely need to use the back-up diesel to charge the batteries. Our average annual use of the generator is about 30-40 hours a year at a maximum charging rate of 2 kW. My estimate is that we use about 10 gallons of diesel a year in the generator.

The appliances serving the home are pretty typical except for refrigeration and water pumping. We have a washer and propane heated dryer, a propane range, propane back up water heater (rarely used since we also have ample solar water heating) the usual compliment of LED lighting and an assortment of communications and entertainment equipment (flat screen TV, a couple of computers, CD player and receiver), clothes iron, vacuum cleaner, bathroom appliances like hair dryer and toothbrushes, all being used at rates that would be typical in a grid connected house. We do power everything from power bars so that we can turn off equipment completely so as to avoid “ghost loads”.

Our refrigeration and water pumping are DC. This was originally for efficiency and power demand reasons, but over the years we have kept these appliances operating directly off the battery as a precaution against inverter failure. If the inverters fail, we can still have water and keep our refrigerator and freezer powered up. We would need to run the generator in the evenings two to three hours for light and for other electrical appliances, but it would save us from having to run the generator more often to keep the fridge cool and to pump water. Now that DC LED light bulbs are available, we may switch back to DC lighting, which would not be too difficult as the lighting load center is separate from the load center for the outlets (our lighting was originally DC).

Our water system is based on two corrugated steel tanks (including metal roofs) with heavy polyethylene liners. A 40,000-gallon main tank is filled with water from our roof and that water is pumped up to a 2,000-gallon tank about 100 feet higher than the house with a 24 VDC Shurflo pump. The little Shurflo pump only moves a couple of gallons per minute, but we only need to turn it on about once or twice a week for a few hours. (We have another piped water system with non-potable water for agriculture and livestock, but a description of that system is outside the scope of this post).

How much of these systems can we keep operating while adapting to collapse? In a collapse situation propane will be impossible to get. The clothes dryer can be abandoned totally to line drying (what we mostly do now), the back-up water heater can be shut down, and the range can be nursed along for a few months to a few years depending on the state of the 125-gallon propane tank at the time of propane delivery failure. For the longer term we have a wood cooking range on a covered lanai. This range would also be a source of hot water once I get the auxiliary water tank installation off my “to do” list.

So, the long-term energy sources for the house and farm are slated to be solar electricity and wood, with solar hot water for as long as the solar hot water modules last (perhaps 15 to 20 years). We have plenty of wood on the property and even have an electric wood splitter powered from the solar system. The wood range has a probable life measured in decades. We have a wood heater for those cool winter days (low 60s), but how to keep the solar system going?

The short answer for most of the power conversion equipment is to have plenty of spares. The inverters can be completely rebuilt with three circuit boards and a cooling fan for each inverter. Those parts are on the shelf. The inverters have been in continuous operation since 2006, so I expect them to need rebuilding in the next few years. The solar charge controllers have an estimated 15 to 20-year life and they are only about 7 years old, so with a spare for each the charge control system can last another 30-35 years. My current crop of solar panels is only about 5 years old, so they should last for a long time yet and I already have their replacements handy, since I bought another set for a second home that probably won’t get built after all. If we do finally build the second home, it will have a duplicate electrical system that can be intertied with our existing system, thereby increasing redundancy.

Here is a table summarizing the power system and the appliances operating from it:

Item	Estimated Life Span (Years)	Method of Repair	If Failure is Unavoidable
Solar PV modules	25-30	Replace with spares	Remove bad modules, rewire and use less electricity
Charge controllers	15-20	Replace with spares	Reconfigure PV to battery charging voltage and manually switch modules on and off (works only with flooded cell batteries)
Inverters	15-20	Rebuild with spare boards	Use DC appliances only or replace with legacy spare inverter (I have a couple of old Trace 2024 inverters in storage)
Battery	Wide variation	Replace with spares? Pick the battery with the longest possible life?	Use no electric equipment except any that can be operated directly off the solar array (DC motors, heaters)
Diesel generator	30	Have plenty of maintenance spares (belts, filters, etc.)	Greatly reduce electricity consumption in cloudy weather
Water pump	10	Replace with spares or rebuild with still-good parts from failed pumps	Haul water with buckets or install eave-level tank or install catchment roof at upper tank.
Corrugated water tanks	30-50	Reinforce weak areas with cables	Use any available vessel for water storage and hand carry water in buckets
Refrigerator	30	None	Evaporative cooling? Night radiation cooling?
Freezer	30	None	No frozen food
Washer	25	None	Hand wash with plunger. Have manual wringer on hand.
Propane dryer	30	None	Line dry everything all the time
Propane range	40	None	Substitute wood and wood range
Solar hot water modules	20	Substitute modules with spares?	Water heating loop in wood range
Stainless steel solar hot water tank	50	Move to wood range location	Batch heat water on stove
Household wiring	50+	Repair with spares	Live without electricity

Battery Considerations

Without an industrial civilization as backstop, the biggest hurdle to keeping a solar system going is the short life of the battery bank. My batteries have been well maintained, but they were three years old when I purchased them 8 years ago. They are nearing the end of their cycle life.

If it cannot be replaced by going to the nearest battery store, the main attribute a battery will need to have is the ability to operate over a large number of daily charge-discharge cycles. There are numerous comparisons of battery cost and cycle life on line. Most of those comparisons result in lithium-ion batteries being the best choice, especially if cost is not a determining factor, just because of their superior cycle life.

Many lithium-ion batteries are touted as having up to 10,000 cycles, even with 80% daily discharge. That would result in a life expectancy of 27 years even though they are typically guaranteed for only 10 years. Even though the cell chemistry could last as long as 27 years, my worry is that the sophisticated electronics that manage the charging of each cell in a lithium-ion battery will probably have a life expectancy of less than that.

I have not yet decided on a final battery replacement strategy. Here are some pros and cons for the best main choices (excluding price):

• Lithium ion: proven long cycle life but delicate to charge and requires sophisticated electronic charge management system.
• Lead-acid: Very forgiving if well maintained but have the shortest cycle life. It may be possible to store “dry charged” cells for many years before putting them in service.
• Nickel-iron: Reputed to have a very long life and very forgiving of a simple charging system (similar to lead-acid). Very hard to damage except by using poor water for electrolyte replenishment. I am still not certain that the lifespan of this battery matches its reputation. Manufacturer literature suggests a cycle life between that of a good lead-acid battery and a lithium ion battery.

I am leaning toward lithium ion. I need to confirm the life expectancy of the typical battery management system and any needed protection from a solar charge controller failure.

I am also keeping an eye on the market for flow batteries for the home. These are quite new and have a limited track record, but should have very long life with easily replaceable pumps.

I am also tempted to see if I can craft build a pure-lead-plate battery from roofing lead sheet.

Conclusion

This post has covered a lot of expensive equipment, much of which my wife and I have acquired over many years. We feel very fortunate to have been able to do so. When one adds up the cost of a small parcel of decent farmland, a home and the outbuildings and equipment a small farm requires, including the equipment needed to provide electricity, water and heat for the home (including in-ground piping and electrical circuits) and other costs like livestock, fencing, roads, ponds, and land leveling, it becomes obvious that it takes a lot of money to prepare to eventually live without money.

I do know that the one thing that will always have value when adapting to collapse will be the skills it takes to help manage a small off-grid farm. Any person that has the ability to grow and hunt for food, manage livestock, operate energy and water systems and knows which end of a screwdriver to grab, is likely to find a place in a post-industrial-civilization world, even without a lot of money for preparation. I am still learning these skills and I started a long time ago. It’s past time to get started, so I recommend a crash course in practical trade skills to anyone that has few of them. Good luck to us all!

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Wind and Hydro Power

Anticipating questions from our readers, I asked Joe about wind and water power. Here is what he had to say, which makes good sense to me. —Irv

I have had a small wind turbine as part of my array of battery charging sources and found it to be more trouble than it was worth. It was a Whisper 1000 and it really needed strong winds to produce much power. It also had a continuing series of mechanical problems, but I kept it going for a couple of years and then threw it away.

I have also had a lot of experience with the larger Bergey 10 kilowatt wind turbine on village power projects. It worked a little better than the Whisper but also required a lot of maintenance. Constant changes of blade leading edge protection tape, furling cable that broke and very high noise levels made it a pain to use. Now that solar modules are so inexpensive, I strongly advise against wind turbines except for large, grid-tied machines for commercial power producers.

Small hydro is another story. If a small stream with a reasonable head is available, small hydro can be a great charging source. I recommend going with a DC alternator to charge batteries and use an inverter for AC power. The small hydro system just substitutes for solar panels as a battery charging source.

If a larger stream is available, enough to generate the maximum power required at the site, then an all AC system can be installed. A load diversion governor is a lot cheaper than a variable geometry turbine. With a load diversion governor, the AC alternator is kept loaded at full output at all times and any unneeded power is electronically shunted to a waste load, typically a water heater element inserted in the penstock or a spa basin.

Small hydro is extremely reliable. The only difficult part is getting clean water into the penstock, which means that a lot of attention has to be paid to the intake structure and subsequent settling and screening equipment. Flood conditions put a great deal of force on the intake, so everything in the stream bed has to be very robust. The best small hydro sources are hillside springs, which avoid a lot of the issues with stream sources. Year around streams and springs are relatively rare, but if you have one they are great sources of energy. With enough head, it takes very little water to produce enough energy to power a homestead.

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Irv again, with thanks to Joe. And now, just a few comments from me.

I agree very strongly with what Joe said in his conclusion about learning practical skills. If your work has you sitting in front of a computer pushing little bits of information around on the screen, and what you do for fun in you off hours never sees you touching a tool, it is time to start learning some of the skills that will be needed when BAU(Business as Usual) is no longer functioning.

Now back to the specifics of off-grid power systems:

One important thing to be clear about is that batteries don't like to be "cycled", that is, to be charged and discharged. Joe touched briefly on this, but I think it is important to emphasize.

Every time a battery is discharged and charged back up (cycled), it wears out a little bit and its capacity to store energy is reduced. The backup batteries that I maintained as an electrician in the power system were kept fully charged and only discharged during outages, and even then not too deeply discharged. They usually lasted for about 15 to 20 years.

In an off grid solar electric system, batteries are cycled fairly deeply on a daily basis. Joe estimates his current batteries will have a lifetime of around 11 years, which sounds about right to me.

The temperature where Joe lives ranges from the 50s to the 70s, Fahrenheit. This is, to say the least, less extreme than the temperatures we experience here in Southern Ontario ( -30° F to around 90° F.) And there are many places not that far north of here that get even colder in the winter. Precipitation around here also comes in various nasty forms in a addition to rain. Such as hail, freezing rain, sleet and snow.

This has some negative effects on solar panels, which are inevitably exposed to the weather, causing them to fail sooner. And of course their output is limited when they are covered in ice or snow.

Batteries function best when their temperature is in the 70s Fahrenheit. That means they need to be in a heated space in the winter. Lead acid and nickel iron batteries also need a well ventilated space due to the hydrogen created during charging and discharging. You probably wouldn't want them in your house due to the fire hazard. Lithium batteries don't given off hydrogen and can withstand more charge/discharge cycles, which is a major plus. But they are more expensive and required more complex charging controls.

I would appreciate hearing from any readers who are running solar electric systems with lead acid or nickel iron batteries in climates with cold winters.

I have some experience repairing battery chargers at the component level, but that equipment was built in the 1960s and 70s, used single layer, single sided circuit boards and discreet components rather than integrated circuits. It almost seemed as if it was designed with repair in mind.

Joe tells me that more modern equipment is less maintainable at the component level—about the best you can do is change out a whole board or module.

Acknowledging that, it still seems to me that there are quite a few people around who I would call tinkers, but who are currently referred to as "makers", at least some of whom have the knowledge, skills and equipment to salvage and refurbish/repurpose defective equipment when that becomes the only alternative. I think in some cases they will succeed in getting some extra life, maybe a few more decades, out of systems like Joe's. A way to make storage batteries using salvaged materials and a fairly low level of technology would be very helpful.

Finally, as Joe says, a system like his does not come cheap, and I suspect many of my readers will find themselves lacking the financial resources to set up anything close. And yet I've devoted this whole post to the idea, and I would recommend that those who can afford it should go ahead and set up such a system. Why so?

First of all, electricity is very useful and if you could extend it's availability by a few decades, it would be worth quite a bit to do so. In one's own domestic situation electric lighting, refrigeration and water pumping would be worth a lot, along with communications and entertainment.

Secondly, in the years after the grid finally fails us, I would like to think an attempt will be made to switch over to sustainable, "village level" technology and to utilize local energy sources to generate electricity. This transition would be greatly facilitated by off grid power systems of the type Joe describes.

A closer look at this transition and the positive legacies of the industrial world will be the subject of my next post.

Links to the rest of this series of posts, Preparing for (Responding to) Collapse:

• Preparing for Collapse, A Few Rants, Wednesday, 25 July 2018
• Responding to collapse, Part 2: Climate Change, Saturday, 15 September 2018
• Responding to collapse, Part 3: Declining Surplus Energy, Friday, 26 October 2018
• Responding to collapse, Part 4: getting out of the city, Wednesday, 21 November 2018
• Responding to collapse, Part 5: finding a small town, Friday, 28 December 2018
• Responding to Collapse, Part 6: finding a small town, continued, Monday, 28 January 2019
• Responding to Collapse, Part 7: A Team Sport Monday, 18 March 2019
• Responding to Collapse, Part 8: Pitfalls and Practicalities of that Team Sport Tuesday, 26 March 2019
• Responding to Collapse, Part 9: Getting Prepared, Part 1, Thursday, June 13, 2019
• Responding to Collapse, Part 10: the future of the power grid, Wednesday, July 17, 2019
• Responding to Collapse, Part 11: Coping with power outages, the basics, Sunday, August 25, 2019
• Responding to Collapse, Part 12: Coping with longer power outages, Thursday, September 19, 2019
• Responding to Collapse, Part 13: keeping the lights on when the grid goes down forever, Wednesday, 16 October 2019
• Responding to Collapse, Part 14: adapting to life without the grid, Tuesday, 29 October 2019
• Responding to Collapse, Part 15: shortages of diesel fuel, Wednesday, 27 November 2019
• Responding to Collapse, Part 15: Addendum, Saturday, 21 December 2019
  Diesel vs. battery powered semi trucks for shipping
  Biodiesel powered tractors vs. horses for farming
• Responding to Collapse, Part 16: Shortages of Money, Part 1, Tuesday, 3 March 2020
• Responding to Collapse, Part 17: Shortages of Money, Part 2, Friday, 27 March 2020

What I've Been Reading, September 2019

Links

Miscellaneous

• How a Fake Mountain Range Slowed Down Arctic Exploration, by Cara Giaimo, Pocket—Atlas Obscura
• Want to Live a Lot Longer? Science Says Do These 5 Things Every Day. (Only, There's 1 Little Problem), by Bill Murphy Jr., Inc.
  Of course this is aimed at entrepreneurs and business people. But it seems to me like a pretty good argument for not wanting to be an entrepreneur or business person. And for making sure you have time for those five suggested things, and for "Work, Sleep, Family, Fitness, and Friends", without having to pick just three of them.
  Really, I think the world could do without a bunch more people aspiring to be billionaires.
• The Tyranny of Economists, by Robin Kaiser-Schatzlein, The New Republic
  "Economists shared a creepy lack of doubt about how the world worked. But worse, they were wrong."

The New Fascism, and Antifa

I hear a lot of well educated people saying that the people some of us are calling fascists don't really meet all the criteria for being "real" fascists. Others have even accused us of calling anyone we disagree with a fascist. I predict that a few decades from now those same people will be saying they wish they hadn't been quite so fussy with their definitions, and had acted sooner to oppose these "new fascists", even if they weren't identical to the fascists of the twentieth century.

"At some point, I have to trust that my deeply held values of seeing everyone as basically good until proven otherwise is better than their deeply held belief that there is a natural order where those on top should exterminate those below." —Alana Tallman

• Why Fighting Fascism Means Owning Your Own Failures, by Umair Haque, Medium—Eudaimonia & Co.
  "So if you ask me, genuine progress fighting fascism comes from the failures of good people corrected, than in the foibles of bad people, prevented. For in the good people, at least, we may place some kind of limited faith. But it is up to those who suppose they are good to really make good on it, for their actions to at last, concord, in even a small way, with their pretty, empty words."
• How The Rebel Infiltrated Postmedia and Conquered Canada’s Largest Newspaper Chain, by Davide Mastracci, North 99
  The troubling and extensive connections between Canada's largest newspaper chain and the most notorious far-right personalities driving its rightward shift.
• The Neo-Nazi Murder Haunting Germany, by Jordan Stancil, The Nation
  "The assassination of a local politician is waking up the country to the threat of the radical right."
• A Former White Supremacist Explains How to Combat White Supremacy, by Max Ufberg, Medium—Gen
  "Christian Picciolini has dedicated his life to deradicalizing extremists and educating federal agents on best practices. But under Trump, the government no longer seems to care."

Collapse

• Vaclav Smil: ‘Growth must end. Our economist friends don’t seem to realise that’, by Jonathan Watts, The Guardian
  "The scientist and author on his latest book – an epic, multidisciplinary analysis of growth – and why humanity’s endless expansion must stop."
• Consuming our future, by Satyajit Das, Australian Broadcasting Corp.—Big Ideas
  Essentially a podcast, audio here.

Responding to Collapse,

• Growing pain: the delusion of boundless economic growth, by Ian Christie, Ben Gallant, Simon Mair, New Democracy
  "Gambling on a future of continued economic growth is a bad bet with long odds and extremely high stakes."
  "...it will involve coalitions of the willing between capitalist big business and sustainability NGOs..."
  In my opinion there is no such thing as "willing big business" in this context, and relying on co-operation from capitalism just isn't going work.
• Green New Deal: How About A “Low Tech New Deal”?, by Low Technology Institute
  "The Green New Deal (GND) has garnered support and opprobrium since it was published. While this plan at least acknowledges the problem of climate change and identifies the proper scale of our reaction, we can point to large gaps in the plan that must be remedied: All this construction while still limiting emissions? Who will truly profit economically from this plan? How do we pay for it?"
  "The biggest gap is that this plan is essentially that it is a way to continue an anthropocentric, high-consumption way of life. LTI is not opposed to this or any other point of view per se. If we could continue to live a human-focused, materialist lifestyle with no negative repercussions to ecosystems, other living creatures, the climate, or society, then by all means laissez les bons temps rouler. But this isn’t the case."

Peak Oil

• $300 Oil: What If The Attacks In Saudi Arabia Had Destroyed Production? by Irina Slav, OilPrice.com
• Debunking ‘Lower Oil Supply Will Raise Prices’ by Gal Tverberg, Our Finite World
• To Defend Its Market Share, Aramco Looks To Import Crude, Gas & Other Products, by Tyler Durden, Zero Hedge
• Has U.S. shale oil entered a death spiral?, by Kurt Cobb, Resilience
• Saudi oil production cut by 50% after drones attack crude facilities, by Yun Li, CNCB
• Peak oil in Asia: where will the oil come from for the Asian Century? by Matt, Crude Oil Peak
• OPEC’s New Saudi Kingpin Faces Demand Woes That Beat Predecessor, by Grant Smith, Bloomberg

Climate Change

• Climate Winners And Losers — In Two Maps, by Indi Samarajiva, Medium—Environment
• No One Seemed To Notice Greta Thunberg’s Critique Of The Green New Deal, by Jeff McMahon, Forbes
  “No matter how political the background to this crisis may be, we must not allow this to continue to be a partisan political question. The climate and ecological crisis is beyond party politics. And our main enemy right now is not our political opponents. Our main enemy now is physics. And we can not make ‘deals’ with physics.”
• ‘How Dare You!’ Greta Thunberg Rebukes World Leaders, by Mark Hertsgaard, The Nation

Economic Contraction and Growing Inequality

• I am expecting a global recession; oil could go to $30 if not $20 a barrel: Raoul Pal, Real Vision, by ET Now, ET Markets

Energy

• Facing our inconvenient truths, by Tim Watkins, The Consciousness of Sheep

Emergency Preparation

• California May Go Dark This Summer, and Most Aren’t Ready, by Mark Chediak and Brian Eckhouse, Medium—Bloomberg

Agriculture

• Phosphate fertiliser 'crisis' threatens world food supply, by Damian Carrington, The Guardian
  "Use of essential rock phosphate has soared, but scientists fear it could run out within a few decades"

Genetic Engineering

Before jumping to the erroneous conclusion that this section was paid for by Monsanto, stop for a moment and understand that organic agriculture/food is a multi-billion dollar per year industry that relies on fear to get people to buy its products. Millions of dollars are spent to convince you that non-organic food is dangerous. In fact both conventionally grown and organic foods are equally safe. Sadly neither method of agriculture is even remotely substainable.

• Panic-free GMOs, A Grist Special Series
  "It’s easy to get information about genetically modified food. There are the dubious anti-GM horror stories that recirculate through social networks. On the other side, there’s the dismissive sighing, eye-rolling, and hand patting of pro-GM partisans. But if you just want a level-headed assessment of the evidence in plain English, that’s in pretty short supply. Fortunately, you’ve found the trove."
  This is a series of articles that does a pretty good job of presenting the facts about GMOs.

Practical Skills

• How to add a handle onto a willow basket : Twisted rod handle, by Hanna Van Aelst, YouTube

Canadian Politics

• The Conservative Party isn’t on your side, by The Public Service Alliance of Canada
  "The last time the Conservative party was in power, Canadians everywhere paid the price – especially those who deliver public services. If elected in October, Andrew Scheer is going to pick up where Stephen Harper left off. Here’s a list of reasons why we can’t let that happen."

Ontario Politics

• Fiscal restraint? Doug Ford's Ontario government spent billions more than Wynne had planned in 2018-19, by Jasmine Pickel, Financial Post

Geo/petro politics

• Trump’s Awful Middle East Policies Are Coming Back to Haunt Him, by John Cassidy, The New Yorker

Debunking Resources

These are of such importance that I've decide to leave them here on an ongoing basis.

• Debunking, Wikipedia
• Pseudoscience, Wikipedia
• List of topics characterized as pseudoscience, Wikipedia
• Rational Wiki
• Science Based Medecine
• Quackwatch
• Snopes, debunks or validates urban legends
• Bad Astronomy
• The Skeptics Society

Science Based Medicine

Science is properly reductionist for a reason. In order to understand the world, and to have reliable empirical knowledge, you have to build your theories from the bottom up, but also confirm them from the top down. This means that we correlate ultimate effects with basic knowledge about mechanisms. Scientific knowledge does not have to flow in any particular direction. At times we discover something fundamental about the world, and then look for implications and applications. At other times we observe effects in the world, and then reverse engineer their cause. In either case real scientific phenomena become increasingly embedded in this network of knowledge. When a claim remains persistently isolated at one level, and neither leads to further applications or to more basic discoveries about the nature of reality, that is suspect.
By Steven Novella, Neurologica blog

• Acupuncture Doesn’t Work, by David Colquhoun and Steven Novella, Science Based Medicine
• Acupuncture Points Don’t Exist, by Steven Novella, Neurologica blog

Lacking an Owner's Manual

The human body/mind/spirit doesn't come with an owner's manual, and we continually struggle to figure out how best to operate them.

• This Man Says the Mind Has No Depths, by Kevin Berger, Pocket—Nautilus
  "Nick Chater argues our brain is a storyteller, not a reporter from an inner world."
• This Is How to Age with Elegance, by John P. Weiss, Medium—Personal Growth
• How To Handle Other People’s Bad Moods Like a Pro, by Nick Wignall, Medium
• Lonely? Short of Friends? Try Looking at It Differently, by Oliver Burkeman, Pocket—The Guardian
  "You never see your friends at home alone in their pajamas, watching The X Factor, and feeling sorry for themselves."
• How to Make Friends the Hard Way and the Easy Way, by Randall Munroe, Medium—Forge
  "We can be shortsighted, and confused, and make lots of mistakes, but we can smell disdain and condescension from a mile away."
  "So while encountering people might be easy, there’s no single set of steps you can follow to befriend them — because friendship means caring about how people feel. And there’s no way to decide how they feel yourself, regardless of how much research or thinking you do. You just have to ask them… and listen to what they have to say."

Gender and Sexuality

• How a Trip to Disneyland Changed My Trans Family Forever, by Alithea Howes, Pocket
  "We thought we were being generous by giving my dad a week to live as a woman. But once we had that week together, we could never go back."
• Lou Sullivan’s Diaries Are a Radical Testament to Trans Happiness, by Jeremy Lybarger, The New Yorker
  "Lou Sullivan’s journals, kept for three decades until his death, in 1991, are a record of personal awakening and a document of cultural transformation."
• I Don’t Understand Straight People, Even Though I’m Married to One, by Darcy Reeder, Medium—Human Parts
  "I’m confident in my sexuality, but my husband’s makes no sense to me"
• Everything You Never Asked About My Open Marriage, by Molly Cornfield, Medium—The Bold Italic
  "Learning about love, relationships, and breaking boundaries through non-monogamy"

There is No God, and Thou Shall Have No Other Gods

I don't think I've made any secret of the fact that I am an atheist, but I may not have made it clear that I think any sort of worship is a bad thing and that believing in things is to be avoided whenever possible. Indeed, I do not believe in belief itself. That's what the "Thou shall have no other gods" is about—it's not enough to quit believing in whatever God or Gods you were raised to believe in, but also we must avoid other gods, including material wealth, power and fame.

• Hi, I Used To Be A Pastor, by Sigourney Humus, Medium—Interfaith Now

Poverty, Homeless People, Minimum Wage, UBI, Health Care, Housing

• Falling, by William McPherson, Pocket—The Hedgehog Review
  "There are a lot of people like me, exiles from the middle class who suddenly find themselves on Grub Street."
• How a Tuxedoed Sommelier Wound Up Homeless in California, by Thomas Fuller, The New York Times
  "As life unraveled, a skilled wine steward joined the swelling ranks of homeless people in tents across the San Francisco Bay Area."
• Homeless services in Alaska face uncertain future as state cuts back, by Ben Kesslen, NBC News
  "In the freezing and sparsely populated state, safe housing is the key to survival. But what happens when budget cuts make providing such shelter untenable?"

Books

Fiction

• Heavy Time, by C. J. Cherryh
• Hell Burner, by C. J. Cherryh
• Wild Fire, by Ann Cleeves
  Final book in the Shetland series

Non-Fiction

I am working my way through several excellent non-fiction books, and expect to finish at least some of them in October. Stay tuned....

Responding to Collapse, Part 12: coping with longer power outages

Volunteer butternut squash and gourds
that grew from one of our compost bins this year.

Dealing with power outages, Section 2

This is the second of the four sections I promised in my last post where I talked about the most basic preparations you should make for short power outages.

Today we'll talk about some further preparations that you can make that aren't (for the most part) terribly expensive and which will help see you through longer outages. There are some pieces of camping equipment that can be quite useful when the grid temporarily lets you down, and useful for camping, as well. This still comes under the classification of coping with a failing BAU (Business as Usual), rather than adapting to a failed BAU.

Because camping often takes you out of contact with the power grid there is a range of camping equipment that uses energy sources other than electricity or allows you to generate your own electricity. When camping, or during an outage, you want to use as little electricity as possible, so that the equipment you need to generate it is as small, simple and inexpensive as possible. Electrical appliances that turn electricity into heat are the first thing you want to get rid of in favour of using some sort of fuel directly to produce that heat. Things like furnaces, heaters, stoves, toasters, and so forth.

Two different type of small propane cylinders
and a can of Coleman fuel

The fuels you'll most likely use are either propane gas or white gasoline (also known as naphtha or Coleman fuel). You can easily store enough of these fuels to get you through an outage a few day to a couple of weeks in length. There is quite a bit of discussion on the internet as to which is better, liquid fuel or propane. All the camping equipment I have uses liquid fuel, which costs less, is less bulky, is safer to store, handle and move in a vehicle, and works better in the cold. It is a bit more complex to use. I do have a propane barbeque and a propane torch for soldering and such.

I keep two or three cans of Coleman fuel on hand, and I've read that as long as the can hasn't been opened it stores quite well. I've left fuel in partly empty cans (with the cap closed) for years and then used it with no problems, so I'm not sure how much of an issue stale fuel really is.

The choice between liquid fuel and propane gas is largely a matter of personal preference. If you go with liquid fuel, have a funnel on hand for filling and a spare set of guts for the air pump. And the one thing you must not do is to fill Coleman appliances with liquid fuel indoors. That's asking for a fire. Make sure you go outside to a well ventilated area with no nearby sources of ignition.

There is also a lot of discussion on whether it is safe to use this equipment indoors, much of which is pure bunk. For safety's sake crack a couple of windows to get some ventilation and have a carbon monoxide detector in the area where you'll be using the equipment. I have found when using even a small appliance like a mantle lantern indoor in the winter that it generates enough heat to make up for the loss from windows that are slightly open.

At this point I should address the issue of natural gas. Many of you probably have a natural gas supply connected to your house. You'd think that this supply would be unaffected by electrical outages. Sadly this is unlikely to be true. In the majority of cases, that natural gas supply is pressurized by electrical pumps that won't be working during a power outage. Some large trunk lines are pressurized using pumps powered by natural gas, and I am told they will probably continue to work during a power outage. But their controls are probably electrical, and unless they have battery backup and/or a backup generator, they won't work either. So I wouldn't rely on your natural gas supply to be impervious to power outages. In any case, most of your natural gas appliance have electrical control and ignition, so they won't work during an outage. Unless you have a generator (see more below).

Perhaps some of you have propane appliances supplied from a large tank that the propane company installed next to your house, and which they fill regularly. This is a source of energy that may well carry you through a power outage. As with natural gas appliances, most propane appliance have electrical controls and ignition, so you need a generator, or a way of hooking you camping style propane appliances up to that big tank. There are a couple of other concerns. Most propane companies work on just in time delivery and if your tank is almost empty when an outage happens, your propane supply won't last long. Perhaps you can talk you propane supplier into a different delivery arrangement. And during high use periods like cold snaps the local supply of propane may run out and you won't be getting any deliveries, even if the power is on.

At this stage you probably still don't want to make majors changes to your lifestyle—when the power is out, you'd like to be able to have some electricity, for a variety of uses that aren't easy to power with other energy sources, or to provide control power to appliances that burn natural gas, propane or even fuel oil.

If you just want a small amount of power, there are small battery banks which store enough power to recharge your phone, tablet or even your laptop. The simplest ones can only be recharged from 120V AC, but the more sophisticated ones (know as solar generators) can be recharged from a solar panel, 12V car outlet, or 120VAC, and they sell foldable, portable solar panels which will charge these battery banks. They have power outputs at 120V AC, 12 VDC and powered USB ports for phones and such like.

I don't have one of these devices, so I can't speak from personal experience, but while they do appear to offer a certain degree of convenience, they are quite expensive and they really don't store very much power—a few amp hours at the most. Certainly not enough to run typical refrigerators or freezers, for instance. If you want to go with solar power, you might be better to consider the full fledged solar panel, inverter-charger and battery system that I'll be discussing in my next post.

Generators

Our Generator

The obvious thing here is to get a generator. I finally gave in and bought a generator a couple of years ago, and last fall we installed a wood stove. We have electric heat and it just isn't practical to have a large enough generator to run our electric furnace, so the two decisions went together.

Our generator is a gasoline fueled, 5500W model made by Champion Global Power Equipment that we got on sale at Canadian Tire for less than $1000 Canadian. (Canadian tire is a chain of automotive/hardware/houseware/sports/garden stores here in Canada. If you live outside Canada don't know what you are missing.) If I had deeper pockets I would have gotten a Honda generator—in my experience Honda power equipment starts more easily, is more reliable and lasts longer, but also costs a lot more. So far the Champion has started easily and run well, even in the winter. This was the smallest generator I could find with a 240V output, needed to run our furnace fan and some of my woodworking equipment.

Some may wonder why I didn't get an "inverter-generator", which uses a DC generator and solid state invert to produce AC. They offer better fuel economy if you want to run your generator pretty much continuously and under light loads most of the time. And they usually are set up to run quite quietly for use in campgrounds. But they are more expensive and more complicated. I intend to run my generator only when there is really something for it to do, and I needed to get the most bang for my buck.

Draining stale fuel form generator
into spare jerry can.
On the left, two jerry cans full of gasoline.

Generators do require some on-going effort to keep them in good condition. I start ours once a month and run it for a short while, then shut off the fuel valve and let it run dry so as to stop fuel from leaving deposits in the carburetor. Fresh fuel is also very important. I have three 20 l. (5 gallon) jerry cans, two of which I keep full of fuel. Before running the generator each month, I drain its fuel tank into the third jerry can and empty that can into my car's fuel tank. The other two cans are labelled "odd" and "even" and in odd numbered months I empty the "odd" can into the generator and then fill it with fresh fuel at the gas station. Same for the "even" can in even numbered months.

Like most generators, this one will run about 8 hours at 50% load. My jerry cans hold the same amount of fuel as the generator's fuel tank, so I'm good for 24 hours at half load. Of course, most of the time I'll to be running the generator at less than 50% power and I have no need to run the generator round the clock, especially with the wood stove and Coleman equipment. I expect that during an outage I would run the generator for an hour or so morning and evening to cool down our freezers and fridge, and do anything else that I need power for at those times. So I hope to be good for outages up to a couple of weeks long.

I got a gasoline fueled generator because my car uses gasoline and I can rotate stale fuel into the car rather than throwing it away. And during an outage, if I desperately have to go somewhere and gas stations aren't operating, I have some spare transportation fuel on hand. If you have a diesel vehicle or you live on a farm with diesel equipment and have a big tank of diesel fuel in your equipment shed, you should consider a diesel generator. If you have propane appliances already and a large tank of propane that your supplier fills regularly, you might want to consider a propane fueled generator.

I just googled "does diesel fuel get stale" and apparently it does after a few months, so you'll still need to rotate your diesel fuel. This will be much less of an issue with propane.

There are a few other complications with owning and using a generator that we should discuss.

Some maintenance will be required, such as changing the oil regularly (check the owner's manual for how often) and cleaning or changing the spark plug. And eventually you'll want to take that generator to your local small engine place for a complete overhaul.

Because the gas tank is full of fuel, a generator is a fire hazard and you shouldn't keep it in your house. I keep mine in my backyard tool shed.

When it is running, the exhaust is a problem (carbon monoxide and so forth), so it should be run outdoors or the exhaust vented outdoors, and not upwind of any ventilation intakes.

Because this is a piece of electrical equipment it needs to be kept dry, and this includes keeping it dry when it is running outdoors in the rain. A leanto made with a trap and some 2X4's would do in a pinch. Or you might want to build a very well ventilated shed to both store and run the generator.

Hooking your generator up to the electrical system in your house in a way that is safe and meets the requirements of the electrical code is a job for an electrician. Until that job is done, you can hook up individual loads to the generator with extension cords. Using a cord with two male ends to plug your generator into the house system is dangerous and illegal. The main concern is that if you leave your main breaker or switch closed, you'll be livening up the whole grid and the people who are working on it trying to restore power. It is no exaggeration to say that that deaths can result from this.

My generator is quite noisy and I don't plan on running it through the night. You can get generators that run fairly quietly, but they are more expensive and usually come in smaller sizes, so I chose not to get one. During an outage, that noise is going to attract attention. In the little town where I live, I expect my neighbours to drop by and see if I have power. When outages become more common, I expect we'll develop a tradition of generator parties, and I'd be pleased to host one.

I hear American survivalists and preppers talking about noisy generators attracting unwanted and possibly dangerous company. They'll probably shake their heads and laugh at my idea of a generator party, but things really are different here in Canada. As my American daughter-in-law, who grew up in Camden, New Jersey, and lived in Jacksonville, Florida, before coming here, says, "it's like moving to a different planet."

Single Mantle
Coleman Lantern
Spare mantles on the right.

OK, having covered all that information, now let's run through our list of services with all this in mind.

Lighting

You can get battery operated lanterns that are quite effective, but I would advise getting a Coleman mantle lantern. They generate a bright white light that is barely distinguishable from the electric light we are all used to and give off a fair bit of heat as well. The mantles are fairly fragile when in use, so keep a couple of spare mantles on hand. Kits of repair parts for the air pump on Coleman appliances are available and you should have one.

Water

Additional water storage would be a good idea, enough for a week or two, at minimum of a gallon per person per day. For two people for a week that's 14 gallons. The next step after storing more water is to have a water filter that can make surface water safe to drink. If you live near a lake, pond or stream, this will prove usefull.

Google will give you links to many types of water filters, but if you are looking for a tabletop filter that will turn the most unsavory surface water into something drinkable, Berkey or Doulton are the brands you want.

Filter elements
inside the upper bucket

Our homemade water filter

They are a little pricey, though, and it is possible (I have done it myself) to put together a much less expensive DIY filter using a pair of plastic buckets that is functionally equivalent to the factory made filters, and uses the same filter cartridges. Here are a couple of links to instructions: 1, 2.

It is also a good idea to keep some 5 gallon plastic buckets on hand for carrying water. You'll find they actually come in handy for a great many purposes.

There are a variety of water treatment/filtration systems for use when camping or backpacking. I'm not really up to speed on these, so I'll include this link to a review of Best Backpacking Water Filters & Purifiers of 2019 to start you on your own research if you are interested.

Of course there are filters you can make at home using charcoal and sand, but I'm going to leave those for my next post.

If you have a well and a generator, best call your electrician and see what is going to be involved in powering your water pump from the generator. Many water pumps have a 240V motor, so you'll need a generator with a 240V outlet, a suitable extension cord, and some wiring at the pump to make it safe and easy to hook the generator up to it.

"Jenkins" Style Sawdust Toilet
with bale of wood shavings in front

Sewage

What I said in my last post applies here as well. Keep an emergency bucket toilet on hand, or go for a Jenkins style sawdust toilet . I have one of them tucked away in a secluded corner of my basement woodworking shop. If we were going to use it regularly, some ventilation to the outdoors would be needed.

I can recommend a couple of books on the subject of humanure: The Humanure Handbook by Joseph Jenkins, and The Scoop on Poop by Dan Chiras.

Food

I'm going to leave the issue of storing large quantities of food for a post in the near future where I'll discuss the ongoing availability of diesel fuel and its effect on supply chains. But it is a good idea to have enough food on hand to last two weeks at a bare minimum, assuming that many stores won't be open and regular deliveries won't be happening during an outage. The idea here is to store what you eat and eat what you store. Don't get taken in by those people who are selling expensive freeze dried emergency food.

Some of that food may end up getting served at a generator party, so plan accordingly.

Two burner liquid fuel Coleman stove, and large kettle

If you are in the habit of always eating out and don't normally keep much food in the house, you need to break that habit and learn how to cook as part of your collapse preparations. It is likely that most restaurants won't be operating during an outage.

The first long outage will catch a lot of people, both consumers and those working in the supply chain, by surprise. A rude awakening, but one that may lead to better preparation for future such problems.

Cooking

You won't want to subsist for very long on food that doesn't need to be cooked. I would recommend a two burner Coleman stove to use when your electric range isn't working. If you have a propane stove that will work without power you're in luck. Propane barbeques can also be useful when the power is out.

Spare parts for Coleman pumps

I recently acquired some spare parts for the pumps of my Colman lantern and stove. The cup on the right is made of leather and will work at much lower temperatures than the usual rubber cup, which stiffens up in the cold.

A big kettle for heating water for washing is also handy.

Refrigeration

At this level of preparation, refrigeration is a tough issue. My own response was to get a generator and plan to run it for short periods a few times a day to keep our fridge and freezer cold. Freezers will stay cold for a day or two without power (especially if they are full), but refrigerators only stay cold for about 4 hours without power and I expect to keep several bags or plastic bottles of ice in my fridge to extend that time (so I can get a full night's sleep if nothing else). I'm also shopping around for a "fridge thermometer" so I can tell how that's working.

There are refrigerators intended for off grid situations that are better insulated and take less power than typical fridges. And there are propane powered refrigerators of the type used in RVs. Both are pretty expensive, so I'm not seriously suggesting you get one at this point.

It is possible to turn a horizontal chest freezer into a refrigerator that takes very little power and stays cool longer. When you open the door, the cold air doesn't fall out, and they have thicker insulation than a regular fridge, so they stay cold longer and use less power. This would be particularly useful if you are setting up an off grid solar power system and need to keep your power usage to an absolute minimum but still want to have refrigeration.

Here are some links to instructions: 1, 2.

The only criticism I would make of these instructions is that it is pretty dumb to run the capillary tube for the sensor bulb under the door seal—hard on the door seal, and leaky. Instead, you can get the temperature sensing bulb in into the fridge through the drain valve and put some duct seal (industrial strength plasticine) around it for a good seal. The "old school" mechanical temperature controller shown in both those articles is definitely the way to go since it uses no power itself. Sometime ago I read another article where the author had gone to a lot of trouble to build an electronic controller that used less power than the fridge. It still used a bit of power, though—better to stick with the simple mechanical controller.

Awnings on the south side of our house

Cooling

As I said in Part 1, if you've chosen your location carefully, you should be able to get by without air conditioning, and just suffer through the few hottest days in summer. Shade and ventilation will help, and believe it or not, if you stay out of air conditioned spaces for a few days , you will get used to the heat. Try to take it easy though, until you've adapted.

Shade can be provided by trees and/or awnings. Trees take a while to grow, so it's best to look for a place that already has shade from tall deciduous tree, definitely on the south side and if possible on the west side. Or plant quick growing trees like mullberries, and wait patiently.

My house has lots of south facing windows from solar gain in the winter, but that's not a good thing in the summer. And it is in a location without trees and where planting trees isn't really practical. So I made up awnings to shade the windows that were picking up the most heat in the summer. They have to be put up in the spring and taken down in the fall, but it's worth the effort.

Guts of attic vent,
based on salvaged furnace blower

Attic Vent Grill

A well designed house can get quite a bit of cooling from natural ventilation, especially from cool breezes in the evening. It helps to have windows that open. This still just wasn't enough for our house, so I put in an attic fan which draws air in through the windows and pushes it out through the attic vents, cooling both the house and the attic in the process. This works best when it cools down after dark, which it usually does in our area.

Our wood stove

Heating

We have an electric forced air furnace, so when the power is out, we have no heat. We do have a catalytic tent heater that uses liquid Coleman fuel. It works pretty nicely in a tent and does OK in the house in a pinch, but it would be best to do the initial lighting outside and you really have to open some windows for ventilation.

There are space heaters that burn propane or kerosene and apparently are safe to use indoors and don't use electricity, or at least work OK on batteries, and aren't terribly expensive. Something to look into if you really don't want to get a woodstove, or simply can't afford one.

But perhaps it would be best to just get a wood stove. Especially if wood heating is common in your area, and there are people making a business of installing wood stoves and supplying firewood.

We did that last fall, and while it was a major expense (especially the chimney—we have a tall house), wood is still cheaper than electricity, so it will pay itself back over a number of years. Of course, there is a bit of work involved in tending a wood stove, but it seems worth it to me. Though I must admit that I am retired and often looking for something to do in the winter.

Our very tall chimney

Ten cords of firewood ready for this winter

Communications

You should make arrangements for communicating with your family (and other house mates) who may be away at the start of an outage. Cell phone will be working for 2 to 4 hours and landlines for quite a bit longer than that.

It appears that CB radio is no longer a big thing, but amateur (ham) radio is. For those who are so inclined I would suggest taking up ham radio and joining a group who use their two way radios for emergency response co-ordination. Not for everybody, clearly, but a fun hobby for techies who like to talk to strangers.

Transportation

I don't have much more to say here than in the first section. Keep you vehicle's tank at least half full, and in a pinch you can use some of your stock of generator fuel in your car.

Bicycles are useful, even when the power is on. I have to admit that living in a hilly town I lust after a bicycle with electric assist, which could be charged by generator or maybe even by a solar panel if you don't plan to use it too much.

And of course, in a small town, walking is quite practical and something we should all get more accustomed to doing.

In Closing

Quite a bit of what I've advised here is not expensive and can be done even by apartment dwellers or if you are renting a house. Much of it would probably be a good idea even if you aren't preparing for collapse. And it will allow you to get through longer and more frequent power outages with relatively little suffering. But best not to kid yourself that this will give you much in the way of long term independence from BAU. We tackle that sort of preparation in my next post.

Links to the rest of this series of posts, Preparing for (Responding to) Collapse:

• Preparing for Collapse, A Few Rants, Wednesday, 25 July 2018
• Responding to collapse, Part 2: Climate Change, Saturday, 15 September 2018
• Responding to collapse, Part 3: Declining Surplus Energy, Friday, 26 October 2018
• Responding to collapse, Part 4: getting out of the city, Wednesday, 21 November 2018
• Responding to collapse, Part 5: finding a small town, Friday, 28 December 2018
• Responding to Collapse, Part 6: finding a small town, continued, Monday, 28 January 2019
• Responding to Collapse, Part 7: A Team Sport Monday, 18 March 2019
• Responding to Collapse, Part 8: Pitfalls and Practicalities of that Team Sport Tuesday, 26 March 2019
• Responding to Collapse, Part 9: Getting Prepared, Part 1, Thursday, June 13, 2019
• Responding to Collapse, Part 10: the future of the power grid, Wednesday, July 17, 2019
• Responding to Collapse, Part 11: Coping with power outages, the basics, Sunday, August 25, 2019
• Responding to Collapse, Part 12: Coping with longer power outages, Thursday, September 19, 2019
• Responding to Collapse, Part 13: keeping the lights on when the grid goes down forever, Wednesday, 16 October 2019
• Responding to Collapse, Part 14: adapting to life without the grid, Tuesday, 29 October 2019
• Responding to Collapse, Part 15: shortages of diesel fuel, Wednesday, 27 November 2019
• Responding to Collapse, Part 15: Addendum, Saturday, 21 December 2019
  Diesel vs. battery powered semi trucks for shipping
  Biodiesel powered tractors vs. horses for farming
• Responding to Collapse, Part 16: Shortages of Money, Part 1, Tuesday, 3 March 2020
• Responding to Collapse, Part 17: Shortages of Money, Part 2, Friday, 27 March 2020

What I've Been Reading, August 2019

Links

Miscellaneous

• Green Autarky: Self Sufficiency Against the Growth Based Model of Industrial Capitalism, by Robin Monotti Graziadei, The Wrong Kind of Green, Blog
• Ignore flawed Fraser Institute report, Canadians get a good deal on taxes, by Alan Freeman, iPolitics
• Scientific Consensus, Wikipedia
• We Tried to Do Vanlife Right. It Broke Us Down., by Chris Wright, Outside Online
• After Two Years Off-Grid, I’m Embracing Daily Letters, Good Sleep and My DIY Hot Tub, by Mark Boyle, Medium—The Guardian
• (Why) We Should Think of Greed as a Form of Insanity, by Umair Haque, Medium—Eudaimonia
  "Greed Isn’t Good. It’s a Mental Pathology That Destabilizes People, Societies, Economies, and Democracies."
  And all the money in the world wouldn't be enough to satisfy this greed.
• Magic grannies are stopping Cuba going hungry , by Anastasia Miari, The Economist
  "At a time of food shortages, the country is relying on the time and ingenuity of its matriarchs."
• Debunking Canadian health care myths, by Rhonda Hackett, Denver Post
• Self-Driving Cars Won’t Save Us, by Alison Gauss, Medium
  "Better solutions are right in front of our eyes."
• Tesla is Not “Sustainable”, or What People Get Wrong About Sustainability, by John Katsos, Medium— Environment
• Aliens in our midst, by Douglas Fox, Aeon

The New Fascism, and Antifa

I hear a lot of well educated people saying that the people some of us are calling fascists don't really meet all the criteria for being "real" fascists. Others have even accused us of calling anyone we disagree with a fascist. I predict that a few decades from now those same people will be saying they wish they hadn't been quite so fussy with their definitions, and had acted sooner to oppose these "new fascists", even if they weren't identical to the fascists of the twentieth century.

• What the Fascist Told Me, by Wyatt Edward Gates, Medium
  The simple truth from a self-professed fascist.
• Seven things you need to know about Antifa, by Seriously..., BBC Radio 4
• Media for the many, Taylor Scollon, Geoff Sharpe, The Cable
  "The Cable is a media network with a mission to advance progressive ideas."
  The link is to The Cable's "About" page. Check out their "Shows" page for content. You have to get into it a bit before it becomes obvious that this is an antifa website
• I Survived the Warsaw Ghetto. Here Are the Lessons I’d Like to Pass On., by Stanisław Aronson, Pocket—The Guardian
  "I’m 93, and, as extremism sweeps across Europe, I fear we are doomed to repeat the mistakes which created the Holocaust."

The Amazon is Burning

• Amazon Rainforest Fires: Here’s What’s Really Happening, by Alexandria Symonds, The New York Times
• The Real Reason the Amazon Is On Fire, by Zoe Sullivan, Time
• The Amazon Is Not Earth’s Lungs, by Peter Brannen, The Atlantic
  Burning the Amazon is not likely to have much effect on the amount of oxygen in our atmosphere. Perhaps more effect on the CO2 concentration, though, and that's what causing climate change.
• The Amazon Cannot Be Recovered Once It’s Gone, by Robinson Meyer, The Atlantic
  "The fires blazing in Brazil are part of a larger deforestation crisis, accelerated by President Jair Bolsonaro."
• Brazil’s Bolsonaro on the Environment, in His Own Words, by Mariana Simões, Medium—The New York Times
  "With criticism mounting on the policies of Brazil’s president, he has promised to combat fires raging in the Amazon. But he has long supported scaling back protections for the rainforest."
• Some of the most-shared images of the Amazon rainforest fires are old or are not of the Amazon, by Paul P. Murphy, CNN
• Reverse Image Search Could Halt Misleading Amazon Fire Photos, by Kalev Leetaru, Forbes

Collapse

• Why everything will collapse, by The 4th Monkey, YouTube

Peak Oil

• Wall Street Gears Up For Onslaught Of Oil & Gas Bankruptcies, Yahoo Finance/OilPrice.com/ZeroHedge
• Debunking ‘Lower Oil Supply Will Raise Prices’, by Gail Tverberg, Our Finite World
  As always, Gail has some deep insights here.
• The $30-billion exodus: Foreign oil firms keep bailing on Canada's energy sector, by Kevin Orland, Bloomberg News/Financial Post
  "The drumbeat of exits, rare for such a stable oil-producing country, adds an extra layer of gloom for an industry that accounts for about a fifth of Canada's exports"
• The wheels come off shale oil, by Kurt Cobb, Resource Insights

Climate Change

• Blame climate change for record water levels in the Great Lakes: prof, by Jeremiah Rodriguez, CVT News
• Trees Could Change the Climate More Than Scientists Thought, by Gabriel Popkin and Quanta, The Atlantic
  "A growing body of research suggests that models of the warming world have underestimated a crucial ingredient: vegetation."
• When a Killer Climate Catastrophe Struck the World's Oceans, by Peter Brannen, The Atlantic—Science

Economic Contraction and Growing Inequality

• Wages Are Low and Workers Are Scarce. Wait, What?, by Annie Lowrey, Medium—Atlantic
  The author is missing the effects of the decreasing surplus energy situation—which are similar to lower productivity, but stem from what amounts to increased energy cost and result in reduced growth rates.

Hazard and Risk

• Fallacies of Risk, by Sven Ove Hansson, Philosophy Unit, Royal Institute of Technology, Stockholm, Sweden
• Why synthetic chemicals seem more toxic than natural ones, by Niranjana Krishnan, Aeon

Agriculture

Before jumping to the erroneous conclusion that this section was paid for by Monsanto, stop for a moment and understand that organic agriculture/food is a multi-billion dollar per year industry that relies on fear to get people to buy its product. Millions of dollars are being spent to convince you that non-organic food is dangerous. In fact both conventionally grown and organic foods are equally safe. Sadly neither method of agriculture is even remotely substainable.

• Five lies told by Carey Gillam, by Stephan Neidenbach, Medium
• Hogwash! A review of Whitewash by Carey Gillam, by Mary Mangan, Biology Fortified Blog

Food

• Three Myths About Organic Food, by Fueled by Science, Medium—Food
  Listen to your mother and eat your veggies—organic or not.
• Vegans, you’re not saving the planet, by Z_Apostrophe, Medium—Food
• I Had to Start Eating Meat Again for Medical Reasons, and Now I’m Questioning Everything, by Rachel Inberg, Medium—Health

Practical Skills

• Processing Willow Bark for Cordage, by Jonathan Ridgeon, Jon's Bushcraft
• 2-ply Cordage Making Techniques, by Jonathan Ridgeon, Jon's Bushcraft
• Make Willow Bark Cordage, by Far North Bushcraft And Survival, YouTube
• How To Make Natural Cordage From Cedar Bark, by Zed Outdoors, YouTube
• Shaped on all six sides, by Kat Gardiner, Aeon
  "Building a boat, plank by plank, is like giving life to an inanimate object "

Politics

• Elizabeth Warren Sells Populism to Professionals, by Benjamin Wallace-Wells, The New Yorker

Linguistics

• Why Do Canadians Say ‘Eh’?, by Dan Nosowitz, Pocket—Atlas Obscura
• 15 Obscure Words for Everyday Feelings and Emotions, by Paul Anthony Jones, Pocket—Mental Floss
• The College Student Who Decoded the Data Hidden in Inca Knots, by Katherine Davis-Young, Pocket—Altlas Obscura

Dancing on Graves

For those that object to speaking ill of the dead, I'll just say that I hope David Koch is soon reunited with his brother.

• David Koch, a Bad Man, Has Died, by Jack Mirkinson, Splinter News
• David Koch, Billionaire Conservative Financier And Industrialist, Dead At 79, by Paul Blumenthal, Huff Post
• Even David Koch’s Philanthropy Was Toxic, by Jeet Heer, The Nation
  "Like other plutocrats, from Andrew Carnegie to Jeff Bezos, the late billionaire used charity to legitimize inequality."
• David Koch Got What He Paid For, by John Nichols, The Nation
  "The late Koch brother bought influence using PACs and other proxies. A prank call to Scott Walker revealed the truth about how the Kochs had their way with Republican politicians."

Secession

• Today in Scotland the UK’s fractures are widening, by Adam Ramsay, Open Democracy

Debunking Resources

These are of such importance that I've decide to leave them here on an ongoing basis.

• Debunking, Wikipedia
• Pseudoscience, Wikipedia
• List of topics characterized as pseudoscience, Wikipedia
• Rational Wiki
• Science Based Medecine
• Quackwatch
• Snopes, debunks or validates urban legends
• Bad Astronomy
• The Skeptics Society

Science Based Medicine

• The Message of Measles, by Nick Paumgarten, The New Yorker
  "As public-health officials confront the largest outbreak in the U.S. in decades, they’ve been fighting as much against dangerous ideas as they have against the disease."
  “It’s shocking how strong the anti-vax movement is,” Zucker said. “What surprises me is the really educated people who are passionately against vaccinations. I see this as part of a larger war against science-based reality. We need to study vaccine hesitancy as a disease.”
  My thought is that it's not a matter of "believing" or "not believing" in vaccines, but one of acknowledging the facts—they do work and they do not pose a significant risk.

Lacking an Owner's Manual

The human body/mind/spirit doesn't come with an owner's manual, and we continually struggle to figure out how best to operate them.

• No, Men Are Not Naturally Violent, by Elle Beau, Medium—Inside Elle Beau
  "And all humans are hardwired for connection."
• Men Can Have Better Friendships. Here's How, by Julia Furlan, NPR
• Men Have No Friends and Women Bear the Burden, a Twitter thread by "Cousin Pookie"
  
• Men Have No Friends and Women Bear the Burden, by Melanie Hamlett, Harpers Bazaar
  "Toxic masculinity—and the persistent idea that feelings are a 'female thing'—has left a generation of straight men stranded on emotionally-stunted island, unable to forge intimate relationships with other men. It's women who are paying the price."
• Middle-Aged Men Need More Friends, On Point on WBUR
  "Men and friendship. By middle age, many have too little of it. And it’s a threat to men’s health."
• The Shy Person’s Guide to Winning Friends and Influencing People, by Michael Thompson, Medium—Forge
  "Kindness is a superpower"

There is No God, and Thou Shall Have No Other Gods

I don't think I've made any secret of the fact that I am an atheist, but I may not have made it clear that I think any sort of worship is a bad thing and that believing in things is to be avoided whenever possible. Indeed, I do not believe in belief itself. That's what the "Thou shall have no other gods" is about—it's not enough to quit believing in whatever God or Gods you were raised to believe in, but also we must avoid other gods, including material wealth, power and fame.

• Children Raised Without Religion Are Kinder And More Empathetic, Study Finds, by Adam Goldberg, Anon News
  "...there is certainly something to be said for how religious parents tend to have a more authoritarian parenting style, which undoubtedly causes these anti-social personality traits."

Poverty, Homeless People, Minimum Wage, UBI, Health Care, Housing

• This Company Hired Anyone Who Applied. Now It’s Starting a Movement., by Eillie Anzilotti, Pocket—Fast Company
The company’s slogan reads “we don’t hire people to bake brownies, we bake brownies to hire people.”
I would say that if you aren't a capitalist, then the justification for starting a company (which of course would be a co-operative) would be to meet a public need while earning a living for the workers. And of course you wouldn't want to externalize costs that then end up being a burden on society.
• The New American Homeless, by Brian Goldstone, The New Republic
  "Housing insecurity in the nation’s richest cities is far worse than government statistics claim. Just ask the Goodmans."

Automation and Jobs

• Self-Driving Trucks Won’t Kill Millions of Jobs, by Paris Marks, Medium—OneZero
• The Problem With Autonomous Cars That No One’s Talking About, by Jasper Dekker, Fast Company
  "Autonomous cars need to learn how to drive like a local"

Books

Fiction

• Cold Earth, by Ann Cleeves
• Finity's End, by C. J. Cherryh

Non-Fiction

• 21 Lessons for the 21st Century , by Yuval Noah Harari
  This book starts out talking about the changes that will be forced on us by advances in biotechnology and artificial intelligence. Some might say the author is technophobic, but I'd say he is just the opposite—naively buying into the claims being made by the cheerleaders in those fields. I'd say the problems we'll face will result not from the unbridled success of biotech and AI, but from their failure to deliver as expected.
  As the book goes on, though, he gets into territory where he actually knows what he's talking about, and that part of it is definitely worth reading.